Matt Yglesias is on vacation until his new ThinkProgress blog launches August 11. But he IMs to ensure I don’t miss this argument in the new Steve Biddle/Mike O’Hanlon/Ken Pollack Iraq piece in Foreign Affairs:
It is worth noting that separation resulting from sectarian cleansing was not the chief cause of the reduction in violence, as some have claimed. Much of Iraq remains intermingled but increasingly peaceful. And whereas a cleansing argument implies that casualties should have gone down in Baghdad, for example, as mixed neighborhoods were cleansed, casualties actually went up consistently during the sectarian warfare of 2006. Cleansing may have reduced the violence somewhat in some places, but it was not the main cause.
I had to reread this to make sure I didn’t misunderstand. Ethnic cleansing is a violent process of extirpating members of a rival ethnicity or sect. If the ethnic cleansing occurred in 2006, of course casualties went up consistently. This argument makes no sense.
But there’s actually a broader point to make. Ethnic cleansing is a crime against humanity. The U.S. quite rightly intervened in the Balkans in the 1990s to stop it. The horrors of ethnic cleansing are unfathomable to those who haven’t experienced them. What you really, really shouldn’t do is treat other people’s ethnic cleansing as a debaters’ point. It’s perverse, isn’t it, the way that ethnic cleansing that occurred during a U.S. occupation can be treated so nonchalantly by Washington polemicists.
Crossposted to The Streak.



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It’s only a debater’s point because it is offerred as an alternate explanation for a reduction in violence. Tell Juan Cole to STFU about it if you don’t think it should be discussed.
This is the same BS we saw with the Lancet figures. Question those and you’re called a fkn warmonger trying to trivialise the deaths of millions. Well no, I just think if you claim a 90% correlation with death certificates, your estimates have only 10% and you are claiming that 9 out of every 10 killed are recorded by no means whatsoever then you need your shit examined. Either it’s science or it’s not.
Here, either it’s an alternate explanation or it’s not. If you don’t want it questioned don’t fkn offer it as one.
Personally I think if it’s offerred as an explanation then it should be examined on its merits and it may not stand up. It will totally account for all those people actually rounded up and killed in neighbourhoods. Once that’s happened though, WTF difference does this make ? Is there really no longer any incentive for the mass casualty attacks we saw drop off ? Do you no longer drive a VBIED down to the market because the closest Shiia to you now lives 12 doors down instead of 2 ?
I’m familiar with the phrase “all politics is local” but really, some shit just ain’t.