Reader Macaquerman emails this Daily Times item reporting a successful warhead-on-forehead operation in Pakistan against a Jalaleddin Haqqani commander, Mohammed Omar. The DT reports:
Muhammad Omar, a commander of Taliban leader Jalaluddin Haqqani, was among the 20 men killed in Sunday’s suspected US missile strike in South Waziristan, officials said. Two lower-level commanders – Waheedullah and Nasrullah – and five Taliban from North Waziristan who had come to meet Omar also died. Omar was active in attacks on US-led and NATO troops in Afghanistan’s Khost, Paktia and Paktika provinces. He was a cousin of Taliban commander Nek Muhammad who was killed in 2004 in the first such US missile strike. A Taliban leader told Reuters by telephone the strikes were ‘very accurate’. “The missiles struck rooms where the guests were having dinner. None survived.”
So let me amend my previous item somewhat. I’m wrong to imply that missile strikes are necessarily useless or counterproductive. You’re as good as your intelligence with these operations, and this Taliban leader is conceding that our intelligence was pretty damn good in this case. And if we have good intelligence in this case, that gives a glimmer of hope that we’re developing a pretty good intelligence apparatus into the Federally Administered Tribal Areas. (Yes, that is a very poor argument form. But the contingencies of the intelligence world make it, paradoxically, a fairly good inferential case.)
Still, that’s a caveat, not an argument-changer. When possible, you should attempt to replace air strikes with the far-more-discriminate Dude With Gun. It seems pretty clear at this point, though, that the Pakistani government is willing to turn a blind-ish eye to missile strikes and will absolutely not accept infantrymen at the moment. So if you’ve absolutely positively got to go this route, you’re playing with fire, but I suppose you’ve got little other choice. This would be a pretty good time to, say, offer Mullah Omar and other non-al-Qaeda insurgents with a better endgame.
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Spot on spencer. Dude with gun can put a bullet in a bad guy. But you can only put a bomb in a grid square, taking out everything around the bad guy with him.