The last time I heard Gen. David Petraeus, commander of all U.S. forces in the Middle East and South Asia, talk about Afghanistan, he was endorsing the Karzai government’s efforts to explore negotiations with reconcilable elements of the Taliban. Now the Central Command chief is putting together a massive strategy review for Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq and the Persian Gulf that pretty much everyone in the defense community is waiting to see. Today he’s on a panel at the U.S. Institute of Peace conference talking Afghanistan.
He prefers the term "transnational violent extremists" to "terrorists" — as in, Afghanistan can’t again become a haven for transnational violent extremists. The challenges to Afghanistan, where there "is nothing easy," are the opener, and they’re well known: a deterioration of security; rampant corruption; poor governance." And then:
"Afghanistan is not Iraq," Petraeus says, reminding that "every case is unique" in counterinsurgency. (What about the so-called Sons of Afghanistan program, which is basically a template lifted from Iraq? He doesn’t say.) He quotes Gen. McKiernan’s much-cited "tyrannies of topography, distance and weather" to distinguish the two countries, and adds that the "human terrain" is much different, in terms of illiteracy rates, tribal ties and natural resources. Basic services — electricity and water, in particular — lag well behind Iraq, which is itself not exactly service-heavy. Petraeus might have added that Afghanistan basically lacks infrastructure as well.
"Achieving progress, needless to say, will take time," Petraeus adds, requiring a "sustained" committment. Progress in security needs to go hand-in-hand with development of infrastructure, the rule of law and governance capabilities, including the provision of credible elections. (All this is basic counterinsurgency stuff.) More Afghan security forces are necessary, but so are "greater civilian contributions" and greater international assistance.
"It’s not possible to solve the problems internal to Afghanistan without addressing the challenges" to Afghanistan’s neighbors, especially Pakistan, and especially in Pakistan’s northwest frontier province, which Petraeus cites as more dangerous to Pakistan than India. (Diplomatic!) "The central Asian states much also be part of the strategy for Afghanistan," he contends. That might be an interesting component to Petraeus’ south-Asia review. There are also congruent interests with "Iran, although there are also conflicting interests," and with a smile, Petraeus quickly changes the subject away from that controversy.
"Partners, not occupiers," was how Petraeus summed up the basic relationship between the U.S. and NATO and Afghanistan. It’s as much a goal as a description of the situation the U.S. faces in Afghanistan. In the end, "sustained commitment" from the U.S. to the region has the greatest chance of producing a successful and stable region from the perspective of U.S. interests. Not a word about talks with the Taliban this time around, though.



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Interesting that Petraeus named Iran.
When he was in Iraq, didn’t he used to avoid having that name pass his lips?
I’m looking forward to an administration where the President tells us what the strategy is instead of hiding behind the generals. I’ve never heard from so many generals in my life as I did during the Bush administration.
Have you forgotten the Kerry campaign so soon?