Speaking of benchmarks for measuring the success or failure of the Obama administration’s Af-Pak strategy, we, uh, don’t have them yet. Bruce Riedel, chairman of the review committee that came up with the strategy, explained to reporters on Friday:
Some of these are fairly obvious, like levels of violence, levels of casualties, periodicity of suicide bombings both in Afghanistan and Pakistan — those kind of benchmarks that you measure any conflict by. Those are some that are pretty obvious. There are going to be other ones about moving against corruption; there will be other ones about the speed with which we build up the Afghan army and the success rate of building the Afghan army.
So the benchmarks process is not something that’s locked in stone today. It’s something that we’re only at the beginning phase of starting to work on.
During a conference call on Friday, Ilan Goldenberg of the National Security Network asked the National Security Council’s director of strategic communications, Denis McDonough, about the benchmarks. McDonough referenced the "Lugar-Kerry" bill that President Obama called on Congress to pass and said there were some "good metrics in there."
The thing is, that bill doesn’t exist yet. Staffers said it would be done this week, as Jonah Blank, the committee’s Central/South Asia expert, is in the process of drafting it. Apparently it’s going to be pretty similar to last year’s bill, sponsored by Sen. Richard Lugar (R-Ind.) and now-Vice President Biden, that would have authorized $7.5 billion to Pakistani civil society over five years had it been signed into law. That bill would have conditioned the $1 billion that the U.S. annually gives the Pakistani military on Pakistan demonstrating that it was taking clear steps to fight al-Qaeda and prevent its territory for being used as a staging ground for attacks on the U.S. military in Afghanistan. The bill faltered last year — election and all — but look for these provisions to become the basis of the Pakistan side of the benchmarks.
Crossposted to The Streak.



18 Comments
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Thanks Spencer
What’s the purpose of benchmarks? If they are not met, U.S. troops can’t leave until they are. If they are met, that’s evidence that U.S. troops are doing the right thing, and therefore that they should stay longer.
Oh, I inadvertantly answered my own Q: benchmarks are an excuse for U.S. troops to stay forever.
I have no fear, that when the neo-libs get started on propaganizing the Democoratic Party, they will commence their ‘argument’ with the notional that now that we’ve ‘pushed’ the Taliban and Al-Queda into one of the remaining ’stans, we will have to go after them when their over there. Therefore, from my contrarian viewpoint, this will not end in the lifetime of my grandkids, regardless of any presumptive metrics, to be defined in the near future.
Jaango
1) It’s a quagmire.
2) Colonialism builds resentment.
3) The military is always an expense. It’s only useful to kill people.
4) The only solution involves commerce & trade for profit, and this excludes the military (see 3).
5) No one in Washington believes (4).
The generals have green Obama by the short hairs.
And then there’s always the pipelanistan pipe dream.
from bernhard at MoA:
and that’s just the beginning.
Seems reasonable to me.
I know just how Obama would reply: But I can do it better.
I like this part:
When I read up on counterinsurgency in 04, I learned that it is rarely successful, and on those rare occassions it is because of suppression so extreme as to kill anything that moves. U.S. in Philippines is an example. But even then it’s not a sure winner, as I understand that the Soviets tried that in parts of Afghanistan and still didn’t win.
Occupation is the problem, not how well or poorly it’s done.
Spencer, you’re a pro-militarist -State -Department -brainwashed spider monkey.
If people would stop writing about these things in an understanding manner, especially this COIN stuff, we would be so much better off.
These COIN guys, in trying to suppress insurgencies by addressing the population’s needs, are merely putting a kind face on fighting.
When I was in school, I had a really great economics teacher, a guy named Lekachman, who would sometimes ask the class whether the problem was of supply or demand.
Sometimes we would want to hear what the problem was before answering.
The name sounds familiar. Where did you go to school?
CUNY
I thought he might have been NYU, where I did my graduate work. But since I live in NYC, I would have heard the name.
Robert Lekachman, prof em and great teacher
from george kenney writing recently about holbrooke:The Balkan Chameleon
selise, It makes a good deal of sense until you try to figure out how you de-nuclearize a region.
Not one country, but, at minimum, three.
True, Kitchener. Boer war.
Very successful counter insurgency.
Invented conentration (death) camps. (Maybe you though it was the Nazis, wrong)
70 Years later was remember bitterly by the Afrikaans (Boers).
What was it that the Boers were fighting for?