Over at TPM, Josh Marshall has an insightful (as usual) post on the merits of continued and increased involvement in Afghanistan. The piece doesn’t come down squarely on either side of the Af-Pak debate, but notes the legitimate concerns of both. It’s worth the read.
One thing I want to note, however, is this excerpt:
So you wouldn’t want one country where bin Laden and his pals could live more or less unmolested and in the open — though given what happened and how many drones we have on patrol, it’s not really credible to me that quite that would ever be allowed again.
A recurring theme I see in media, both new and traditional, coverage of military operations is that we are routinely portrayed to be much cooler than we actually are. Speaking as someone who spent much time watching Predator feeds in a TOC in Afghanistan, I can assure you that if you do not know how many drones we have in Afghanistan, whatever number you are imagining is probably far more than the number that actually exists. In fact, sometimes a lack of drones in Afghanistan is a significant problem.
This isn’t an issue that applies only to unmanned aircraft. When we were down range, my battalion was portrayed in the media as having done things, both positive in negative, that never happened. They never happened because we had no desire to do them. In the case of the positive events, it wasn’t the case that we were incapable of accomplishing the attributed feats; we certainly were. But they had nothing to do with our assigned mission, so why would we want to?
Also at VetVoice.



2 Comments
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While the actual impact of the drone war is more limited than (Tom Clancy Reading) Americans tend to imagine, and is very likely negative in the overall sense, I suspect that the THREAT of the drones is an operationally limiting factor for Taliban – related groups.
You’d certainly be much more cautious about assembling in groups for planning purposes, and the time window to physically prepare an operation would be much shorter than it would be in a theater without drone attacks.
Don’t get me wrong, the drone wars are such a political negative that even if they had substantial military benefits, which they don’t, they wouldn’t make practical sense, the point here is to suggest that any actual effectiveness of drone strikes might be more in the operational adjustments the Taliban types have to make to them than in their actual combat effectiveness…
mikey
Yep, the article in the NYT a few weeks back with the interview with the Taliban guy seemed to suggest that the drone attacks were having an effect much like you’re describing Mikey