Sometimes I think progressives and conservatives are speaking English through brains trained in different languages, and mistranslation leads to a lot of misunderstandings. Counterinsurgents can come in left- and right- variations, but they add a third kind of misunderstanding. Here’s Bing West, writing in Small Wars Journal, providing an example. West, whom I think is fair to call a right-counterinsurgent, argues that the basic problem with the counterinsurgency strategy in Afghanistan is that it fails to acknowledge that enemy-centric combat is the surest way to provide population security. In the course of doing so he makes this dubious point:
It appears our strategy is nation-building, with fighting and dismantling of the Taliban a secondary consideration. Thus, the number of enemy killed will not be counted, let alone used as a metric. This non-kinetic theory of counterinsurgency has persuaded the liberal community in America to support or at least not to vociferously oppose the war. But we have to maintain a balance between messages that gain domestic support and messages that direct battlefield operations.
There are several reasons why progressives "support or at least not… vociferously oppose" the Afghanistan war: long memories of 9/11; a sense that the war is in U.S. interests; a desire to support Barack Obama; etc. Likewise, there are several reasons that progressives do, in fact, oppose the Afghanistan war: a conviction that the 9/11-centric justification for the war has worn its course; a sense that the war is not in U.S. interests; a sense that the costs exceed the benefits; a desire not to let support for Barack Obama override progressive principles; etc.
But no one in the progressive community actively or passively backs the war because of "non-kinetic theor[ies] of counterinsurgency." I don’t even know what a non-kinetic theory of counterinsurgency is. All counterinsurgencies require violence (which is what "kinetic" means), which is why counterinsurgency is a subcategory of war. I have never met anyone in progressive circles who believes counterinsurgency does not require violence, and I spent the last four days at a progressive convention in which people debated whether Afghanistan merited U.S. involvement at all; at what cost; for what duration; for what purpose; and in what capacity. If West can produce the deluded progressive soul who suffers from the misimpression that counterinsurgency is a benign activity, progresives on all sides of the argument will quickly disillusion him or her.
I suspect West means something on the order of this: There’s an overlap between progressives and counterinsurgents in the sense that, broadly speaking, both speak of approaches to warfare that focus on emphasizing root-cause approaches to ending conflicts and the limits of violence toward that end. That’s, at least true, and that’s why both fall within the reality-based community. But no counterinsurgent I’ve ever met has ever argued that just because violence is insufficient in counterinsurgency that it’s unnecessary; and no progressive I’ve ever met has believed counterinsurgents to be doing so.
One interesting, if ironic, intellectual convergence: West’s real concerns are that McChrystal is placing what he sees as damaging and unnecessary restrictions on U.S. combat capabilities; is taking a concern with reducing civilian casualties way too far; and is downplaying the importance of killing the U.S.’s adversaries. Those three points have recently been made by Michael Cohen, a progressive with a predilection for the Grateful Dead and the Boston Red Sox among other unsavory crunchy tastes. There are some important differences: West and Cohen disagree that the Taliban are U.S. adversaries; Cohen wants a focus on al-Qaeda. Cohen’s post implicitly rejects the difference between enemy-centric counterinsurgencies, which are bloodbaths, and population-centric counterinsurgencies, which are violent slogs. West respects the difference and prefers the former. Outside of that, hippie and hun can shake hands.
*To be clear, I don’t believe in arguing by association. Just because certain people I like endorse a certain argument doesn’t validate that argument; and just because certain people I dislike endorse a different argument doesn’t invalidate that argument. The merits of an argument always matter most. I’m just noting an interesting convergence in this final graf as a way of challenging the point of West’s that I blockquoted. Counterinsurgency is neither inherently progressive nor inherently conservative, and anyone who makes an argument for it being either is committing a category error.
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The thing that’s interesting is that we have clear recent historical examples of both approaches, from which I think conclusions can be drawn and the likelihood of “success” can be judged.
The Russians tried the primarily “kinetic” approach to pacifying Afghanistan. They used massive violence, savage collective punishment and heavy aerial bombardment. They spent a lot of resources, took a LOT of casualties and in the end went home empty handed.
The Americans have tried a variety of nation-building strategies in Iraq, both attempting to bring about some kind of political reconciliation and to make the country functional. Despite the expenditure of untold billions of dollars, many lives and person-years, there still is no real government services, clean water, electricity, education, health care or even the kind of real security that isn’t characterized by mono-ethnic neighborhoods.
Yes, we “put a man on the moon”. But we still have to accept that some things are not possible, and to undertake what is clearly impossible will ALWAYS out of necessity and by definition lead to failure. If we were realistic about what was possible in Afghanistan and honest about the timeline required, we could have a reasonable discussion. That is not what seems to be happening now…
mikey
Saying that it’s neither inherently progressive nor conservative must never serve to obscure that it’s both inherently evil and ultimately futile to root for the Red Sox.
Particularly when their division rival has won 23 of their last 30 games.
One reason left out for progressives “support or at least not… vociferously oppose” the Afghanistan war, and that is the fear of the nuclear weapons next door in Pakistan and the threat of Taliban commandeering these weapons.
But I’m starting to think the opposite is true. As the war in Vietnam spilled over into Cambodia and led to the ascendancy of the Khmer Rouge and the killing fields, might the war in Afghanistan lead to the fall of Pakistan’s electoral government and the rise of who knows what? And Cambodia had no nuclear weapons…
…and which team has won the World Series this millennium??
A few weeks ago I saw a picture in the paper taken at an Army training camp where soldiers plan to use horses in Afghanistan fighting. Funny, I wrote a satire on that years ago where the Afghan military were riding horses back in 2002 in support of the U.S. war against the Taliban and al Qaeda. Instead of air-dropping supplies and Meals Ready to Eat (MREs) I thought it appropriate to bring in OREs (Oats ready to eat) for the horse brigade.
Is this war winnable? As we see some of the video coverage on the Afghan war I wonder if there ever was an actual end strategy. NATO troops have been less willing to continue this madness because they thought once the Taliban were brought to rein, their mission would be road-building, school and hospital construction and other humanitarian projects that would help the Afghan people get back to some sort of self-sufficiency. Those prospects have all but evaporated.
Once G. W. Bush abandoned Afghanistan and his hunt for Osama bin Laden in order to bomb, invade and occupy Iraq, his “cakewalk” war, conditions in Afghanistan continued to deteriorate and the Taliban warlords are back in business as never before.
In Afghan Fields the poppies blow
Between the crosses row on row,
That mark our place; and in the sky
The larks, still bravely singing, fly
Scarce heard amid the guns below.
Is there something more noble about this war that I’ve missed?
First we can’t burn the poppy fields because the opium crops keep the farmers from starving and the Afghan people will side with the Taliban if we take away their living means. Then, we discover the opium profits are being used by the Taliban and al Qaeda to train in the madrassas of Karachi and Islamabad, Pakistan so the recruits can learn how to kill Americans and other westerners.
So, now the word is we are destroying the poppy fields again.
In the meantime, toady generals like McKiernan who was replaced by General McCrystal still haven’t figured out how to stop the increasingly sophisticated roadside bomb attacks which were developed and tested in Bush’s personal war of choice in Iraq. The much-touted General Stanely McCrystal, if anyone recalls, was instrumental in covering up the disastrous investigation into former pro football player Pat Tillman’s death as a result of friendly fire.
Let’s also not forget the other high tech operation in Afghanistan, you know, the one where we win the hearts and minds of the Afghan villagers when we send in unmanned Predator drone aircraft to fire “precision” missiles directed (”flown”)from an airbase in Las Vegas, Nevada that wipe out dozens of civilians. But hey, we got a couple of bad guys — I think!
So, here we are over 7 years later, pouring thousands of more troops into Afghanistan while approximately 130,000 U. S. troops languish in Iraq and remain totally under the thumb of the Shiite Islamic government of Nouri al-Maliki who now restricts where and when U.S. combat troops can and cannot go — thanks to Bush’s Status of Forces Agreement that had no input or advisory role for the U.S. Congress.
Hey, you wanna know how come we’re still not rounding up those bad guys during the “fog of war” and sending them off to Guantanamo Bay, Cuba? That’s so 2002!
I wonder how much health care these two $10 billion per month Bush-Cheney adventures would buy for millions of Americans? Silly me.
I kind of think that the fall of Pakistan’s government was a whole lot more likely when they were supporting the Taliban and happily hosting Al Qaeda than it is at present or is likely to be in the near future.
Non-kinetic counterinsurgency is where the invading troops greet the populace with chocolates and flowers. West is perhaps referring to a strategy of purely bribing and building Afghanistan into an ally?
Remind me again why we are in Afghanistan?
This progressive is of the conviction that the war is illegal. There is only one course of action and it does not involve weapons of any kind other than words on legal forms and those that may be of use by personnel rounding up recalcitrant perps.
Why we are in Afghanistan?
See if this helps explain it. Try listening to the Jeff Sharlet interview with Alex Jones,
http://www.conspiracyarchive.com/Blog/?p=2678
A major argument is that the war spilled into Cambodia because we left and didn’t keep it from happening…which would work in favor of staying in Afghanistan.
No, because the difference was the Taliban and Al-Qaeda were in Afghanistan and not in Pakistan at the time.
They’re in Pakistan now.
I’m going to challenge this statement:
I would argue that exact point. I belong to the rather small community of pacifist counterinsurgents. It might even be a community of one. I believe that the proper conclusion to draw from the work of Col. John Boyd (if there is a patron saint of counterinsurgency, he is it) is that modern warfare is a fool’s game. We can expand the scope of the WOPR (”Joshua”) doctrine to include all war: the only winning move is not to play.
At one time, we were all somewhere else. AQ and the Taliban have been in Pakistan at least 6 years and have been been actively undermining the Pakistani government.