This CBS story does a really terrible job of explaining that there are simply not enough uncommitted Army combat brigades to send 40,000 to Afghanistan with any kind of rapidity, as discussed here. It makes it seem like Obama is choosing to stagger troops into Afghanistan in an ineffective way.
The first combat troops would not arrive until early next year and it would be the end of 2010 before they were all there. That makes this Afghanistan surge very different from the Iraq surge, in which 30,000 troops descended on Baghdad and the surrounding area in just five months.
Fred Kagan of the American Enterprise Institute says a slow motion surge will produce slow motion results.
“If they’re going to be sort of trickled in very slowly over the course of a year than it’s unlikely to have a very decisive impact in the course of 2010,” he said.
Uh, and why the hell is Obama doing it this way? Because there’s little other choice. But you won’t know that from reading the CBS piece. Nor will you get any discussion of the obvious question the whole thing begs. If you can’t get these troops to Afghanistan in the time that McChrystal says it’ll make a difference (“Failure to gain the initiative and reverse insurgent momentum in the near-term (next 12 months) — while Afghan security capacity matures — risks an outcome where defeating the insurgency is no longer possible,” McChrystal Review, at section 1-2) then why should we do it?



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MSNBC reports the WH is “shooting down” reporting that the President has made a decision about troops to Afghanistan. Is this *another* Pentagon leak from hard-liners trying to box in a young untested President?
No.
**Sigh**
I know, broken record. Obama has a much (in his estimation) larger challenge than the strategic approach to Afghanistan. Obama is making POLITICAL decisions, and any attempt to analyze his approach to decision making in any other terms is doomed to confusion and failure. The egg the President is balancing on the point of a pencil is how to maintain what he deems sufficient troop levels in Iraq through the January (now) 26th elections while not allowing himself to become vulnerable to charges that he walked away from his campaign commitments to the Afghan theater while at the same time trying to keep the majority of Americans from demanding an end to what they see as a pointless waste of lives and money.
A reasonable approach would be to use the stolen Afghan election as the basis to withdraw the larger portion of American troops and deal with Afghanistan and Pakistan at arms distance, with the accompanying reduction in expense and loss of life. A somewhat LESS reasonable approach would be to double down, send in more troops and announce a ‘new’ strategy for them to carry out, one that will make very little sense, be very difficult to explain and defend and will only cost more lives and more funds….
mikey