There is something here. But we need so much more evidence — proof, to be frank — of the directness here. For instance:
How closely was Zazi actually connected to al-Qaeda senior leadership? How anomalous or indicative is his case? What does his arrest represent about U.S. domestic capabilities relative to those of the al-Qaeda “syndicate”? And how much information will the Obama administration release to demonstrate the scope of this threat and these ties, as oppose to asserting them as self-evident?
The threat from al-Qaeda to the U.S. is so much greater than, say, the threat to the U.S. from Iraq ever was. But all that means is that the threat is nonzero. After the experience of the Bush administration so blatantly manipulating intelligence on terrorist “connections,” the Obama administration absolutely cannot be allowed to make this case so loosely and insubstantially. I missed this part of the hearing, but Marcy tells me that Sen. Feingold asked why we’re not sending troops to Somalia, for instance, when indictments have been unsealed about al-Shebaab recruiting in Minnesota. (I would add that al-Shebaab has pledged support to Usama bin Laden, but I think the point stands.)



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Or, for the purposes of the current discussion, the more important question is would the Zazi plot have more likely been successful if there were less than a thousand American military personnel in Afghanistan and no combat operations whatsoever? The case the administration has been unable to make is that brigade-scale deployments and massive military operations in Afghanistan actually have any effect on preventing small non-governmental transnational terrorist organizations from plotting and implementing attacks on the US and Europe. Personally, I think it’s pretty obvious that it is counter terror operations that prevent terror attacks, and a small, local insurgency thousands of miles away isn’t very likely to result in attacks against American citizens in the US.
And yeah. Somalia is functionally proof of that assumption…
mikey