On first blush, it seems like Charlie Savage’s New York Times piece about Guantanamo staying open until at least 2011 (an estimate, but a sensible one) is, you know, Bad News. But.

Consider how this is going to work. The reason why GTMO might stay open through 2011, Charlie reports, is because Congress is balking on the money to buy the Thomson Correctional Center in Illinois, where Obama wants to move some of the GTMO detainees. But which detainees? The ones who will be tried in military commissions, which will be moved to Thomson under the plan. Detainees who will be tried in civilian federal courts will be detained by the jurisdiction charging them. And it’s the jurisdiction’s responsibility to imprison them after conviction.

You see where I’m going with this, right? Only the military commissions are hitting a snag right now. David Kris and Jeh Johnson, the senior Justice and Pentagon officials responsible for the contours of the Obama administration’s detainee policies, haven’t provided a clear set of criteria for who gets charged in civilian courts and who gets charged in the commissions. And they’ve had, at this point, a year to review the Guantanamo cases! Johnson told a Senate panel in July, “Where feasible, we would seek to prosecute detainees in [federal civilian] courts.”

Well, that just got a whole lot more feasible with the Thomson Snag, didn’t it? The federal government’s difficulties in purchasing Thomson are only problematic if you’re a fan of the military commissions. If you prefer trying detainees in federal courts or sending them to the custody of their home countries, then this isn’t problematic at all. And my colleague Daphne Eviatar documented just yesterday all the persistent and structural problems with the military commissions.

Bottom line: this is an opportunity for civil libertarians to relitigate their case with the administration that tinkering around the edges of a baroque and neither-fish-nor-fowl justice system is a mistake, and one that carries needless and substantial political risk for the administration. New York didn’t flinch from charging Ahmed Khalfan Ghailani or Khalid Shaikh Mohammed. Because New Yorkers have balls and we want justice and we want to convict the living fuck out of those murderers. (No disrespect to Illinois, whose governor and Senators embraced Thomson, incurring political risk themselves.) Who knows? The Obama administration might actually be persuaded. The further the Obama team goes down this road, the more congressional opposition they’re going to get; whereas using the existing justice system is an executive prerogative. (Though it’s obviously not risk-free. There does need to be some political courage here.)