Matthew Yglesias on the, uh, middle of the end of the Iraq war:
[T]he policy of disengagement from Iraq over the past 18 months has been a stunning success. Not because it’s solved all of Iraq’s problems — it hasn’t — but because it’s solved one of America’s biggest problems since the war began, the continued pouring of resources into a mission that lacked clear rationale. At some point in 2004 or 2005, the adventure became essentially self-justifying. Troops needed to stay in Iraq long enough to salvage some kind of outcome that would somehow justify the decision to invade in the first place. But there’s simply no redeeming an irredeemable mission. The country, however, was trapped into a polarizing debate about “winning” or “losing” a war in which conservatives refused to admit “defeat.” But occupying a medium-sized politically divided country whose population is hostile to your presence is a game you only win by refusing to play.
You can also break this dynamic by defining success as successful extrication. If the U.S.’s maximal aims in War X are, as in Iraq, unachievable, you can secure the minimal ones by leaving in such a manner that the whole place doesn’t collapse into a hellhole. That compels residual missions (train-n-equip, political support, etc.) and ensures you don’t stay. The tactical goal becomes withdrawal, in other words, and the strategic goal becomes mitigation of the disaster. (The first is naturally easier to measure than the second.)
Notably, as much as everyone likes to talk about the “surge narrative” in Iraq, if you read through Tom Ricks’ The Gamble, there’s a split among General Petraeus’s advisers over whether the point of the surge is to facilitate the successful extrication of the U.S. from Iraq or to facilitate the continued pursuit of somewhat-less-than-maximal war aims. If it sometimes appears like “The Surge” can mean all things to all people depending on the immediate necessities of political argument, that might be attributed to the basic command divide.



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I have always been confused by the desperation the Iraq hawks had for staying there. It became, as you say, self-justifying. You fought to stay, and you stayed to fight. If things were bad, you had to stay. When things got better, you had to stay. Iraqi security forces were poorly trained, you had to stay. When they acquit themselves well, you had to stay. I could never understand why the American right and left couldn’t come together on a strategy of “declare victory and go home”.
On the surge, there was a very clearly defined rationale for the surge. It was stated repeatedly and agreed to by all parties – the surge was to reduce violence, particularly in Baghdad, to provide the “breathing room” for political reconciliation. Now years later, and almost six months after the election, the country is led by a caretaker government with a hung parliament and little hope of an effective governing coalition. By the very definition offered by the surge proponents, it was a failure. If you define a means to an end, execute the means and fail to achieve the end, you cannot go back and say the act of executing the means constitutes success. That’s more than revisionist, it’s delusional…
mikey